Lightning BrainCrowds & forecasts

EPCOT crowd calendar

Walk forward for the forecast, back for how every call turned out.

4/10Thursday, October 22, 2026 ยท Moderate-: a little lighter

Park-wide average posted wait about 27 min. Likely to land between level 1 and level 8. Set this morning from the latest park data. We said level 4, about 27 min. Disney's posted waits averaged 23 min. More than 1 level off.

Quietest day aheadWed, Oct 28level 1 of 10
Busiest day aheadSun, Nov 8level 7 of 10
Next 22 days3.5 average9 low days, 0 peak days
Track record50% within 1719 calls graded, 3.2 min average error

Calendar

Big number: crowd level, 1 to 10. Small number: the date. Tap a day for its call.

Low 1 to 2Moderate- 3 to 4Moderate+ 5 to 6High 7 to 8Peak 9 to 10

November 2026

SMTWTFS13 22 32 42 54 65 75 87 97 105 114 123 136 146 154 165 172 181 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Further ahead

December 2026 through October 2027.

Log in to see the next three months.

Purchase a Premium Day in the future to see the next year.

Thursday, October 22, 2026

Level 4 of 10, Moderate-: a little lighter.

Park-wide average posted wait about 27 min.

Likely to land between level 1 and level 8.

Set this morning from the latest park data.

We said level 4, about 27 min. Disney's posted waits averaged 23 min. More than 1 level off.

The math

Log in to get started.

Premium shows the math: each driver in minutes, and how this call moved from months out to the day before.

The record so far

Every past day keeps every call we made for it. The table grades each call by how far ahead it was made.

Made this far aheadCallsWithin 1 levelExactAvg error (min)
Same day or 1 day8049%23%3.2
2 to 7 days33344%20%3.5
8 to 30 days25455%24%2.9
31+ days5265%29%2.6

Recent misses

DateLeadSaid levelSaidWasOff by
Oct 260d326 min22 min4.3 min
Oct 251d428 min25 min3.1 min
Oct 252d428 min25 min2.8 min
Oct 253d428 min25 min3.0 min
Oct 254d528 min25 min3.2 min
Oct 255d528 min25 min3.2 min
Oct 256d528 min25 min3.2 min
Oct 257d529 min25 min3.4 min

A miss is more than one level off on the park's own scale; minutes are Disney's posted waits.